Moody’s: Sands Cash Flow May Sustain Dividend Payments

Las Vegas Sands Poised for Growth: Cash Flow, Dividends, and Future Prospects

Posted on: October 17, 2024, 03:15h.
Last updated on: October 17, 2024, 03:15h.

Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS), renowned for its lavish resorts and iconic casinos, has recently caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. With rising free cash flow, the company is well-positioned to enhance its quarterly dividend and execute share repurchase programs, signaling a robust recovery trajectory in the gaming industry.

Sands China’s Parisian Macau on the Cotai Strip. Las Vegas Sands’ rising cash flow can support shareholder rewards. (Image: Nana Jover)

Strong Financial Recovery

According to a recent report by Moody’s Investors Service, Las Vegas Sands is expected to see a significant increase in its retained cash flow to net debt ratio, projecting an uptick from 28.8% at the end of Q2 2024 to 33% over the next 12 to 18 months. This growth is primarily driven by the ongoing recovery of the Macau market, where Sands China, a subsidiary of LVS, operates five integrated resorts.

Moody’s emphasized the company’s historical commitment to returning capital to shareholders, stating that Sands has often managed to offset cash outlays for dividends and share repurchases with strong consolidated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).

A Renewed Focus on Dividends

After a suspension lasting over three years during the pandemic, Las Vegas Sands resumed its quarterly dividend in August 2023, setting the payout at 20 cents per share. Before the pandemic, LVS had established itself as a leader in dividend growth within the gaming sector, garnering a loyal investor base seeking income and stability.

Currently, the dividend payout costs the company approximately $150 million per quarter, and with shares yielding 1.58%, LVS is again appealing to income-focused investors. Analysts have speculated that Sands China may consider reinstating its own dividend as early as 2025, aligning with broader market expectations and strategic moves within the sector.

Share Repurchase Plans

Beyond dividends, rising free cash flow is expected to bolster LVS’s capacity to repurchase shares. Over the past year, the company has successfully executed a $1.36 billion share buyback program, further demonstrating its commitment to enhancing shareholder value. Notably, there remains $645 million available under an approved repurchase plan, ensuring the company can continue to execute on this front.

Strong Liquidity Position

A critical aspect of Las Vegas Sands’ financial health is its robust liquidity. Moody’s reports that LVS holds $4.7 billion in cash and has an additional $4.4 billion available through an undrawn revolving credit facility. This strong liquidity enables the company to efficiently finance ongoing operations and planned expenditures, expected to be around $1.5 billion in 2024, primarily directed towards its properties in Macau and Marina Bay Sands in Singapore.

Looking toward the future, expenditures are projected to decrease to $1.15 billion in 2025, suggesting a potential increase in free cash flow availability.

Future Growth and Concerns

While the outlook for Las Vegas Sands is encouraging, Moody’s cautionarily notes that the company’s ambition for future growth could pose challenges. LVS is actively pursuing new project opportunities, including a casino permit in New York and interests in expansion into Thailand. Such endeavors would likely require significant debt financing, which could lead to temporary leveraging that may impact credit ratings.

Moody’s has rated LVS at "Baa3," hovering just above junk status, indicating that while the company’s future looks promising, scrutiny remains regarding its debt management and strategic spending.

Conclusion

Las Vegas Sands is positioning itself for a robust recovery and growth phase, supported by rising cash flows and a renewed focus on shareholder returns through dividends and stock repurchases. As the company navigates post-pandemic recovery and eyes future expansion, stakeholders will be keenly observing its financial strategies and resulting impact on the broader gaming industry. With strong liquidity and a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, LVS stands at a pivotal juncture, ready to leverage its resources for sustained growth and value creation.

As the landscape of the gaming industry continues to evolve, Las Vegas Sands is carving out its path, promising not only to weather challenges but also to thrive in a competitive marketplace.

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